Who “listened” to Mitsotakis’ measures: Double poll by Marc before and after the Thessaloniki International Fair (TIF) – ND gains 1.7 points, reaching 31%

Marc estimates ND’s contiguous summation from Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ beingness astatine TIF at 1.7 points, linked to the announcement of important taxation measures affecting astir 4 cardinal citizens.

In a survey by the aforesaid institution connected September 2, ND’s voting volition stood astatine 25.3%, portion successful the canvass completed connected September 11, 5 days aft the Prime Minister’s announcements astatine Vellidio, it roseate to 27%. Thus, New Democracy breaks the 30% obstruction successful ballot estimation: astatine 31%, it secures a 17.5-point pb implicit PASOK, which remains astatine 13.5%, successful a seven-party parliament that could, however, go nine-party, since MeRA25 and Stefanos Kasselakis’ Democracy Movement narrowly miss entering parliament.

Despite the information that the canvass responses uncover a ample accusation spread regarding the TIF measures—for example, 1 successful 3 parents of ample families accidental that the simplification of taxation rates depending connected the fig of children successful a household affects them small oregon not astatine all—those who admit they payment from them, adjacent a little, transcend ND’s ain percentages by up to 30 points. For example, 61.2% of nationalist assemblage employees and 48.9% of backstage assemblage employees authorities they are favored.

Interestingly, young radical besides look responsive to the taxation measures: 34.2% of the 17–30 property radical measure Mitsotakis’ beingness astatine TIF positively, with ND erstwhile again being the apical enactment among younger voters. The occupation for the governing enactment seems to displacement to somewhat older ages: successful the 31–44 group, lone 25.5% explicit restitution with the Prime Minister’s quality successful Thessaloniki.

By contrast, the fig for those implicit 65 reaches 53.3%! Notably, a majority—54.5% of respondents—say that the TIF measures volition assistance “a little,” “to immoderate extent,” oregon “significantly” successful dealing with inflation, which remains by acold the biggest occupation households face.

All of this shows that ND’s “perimeter” is widening—even successful a play erstwhile nary predetermination temper is recorded successful society, lone wide interest astir planetary developments, from the Middle East and Ukraine to the situation successful France.

It is telling that Marc’s 2 polling waves recorded a important summation successful undecideds wrong a week, from 13% to 15%, suggesting that citizens bash not consciousness faced with pressing dilemmas astatine this time.

ND raises cohesion

Based connected voting volition responses, ND accrued its cohesion by 3 points aft TIF, from 60% to 63%. At the aforesaid time, it regains archetypal spot among those identifying arsenic centrists, with 22.4% compared to PASOK’s 17.9%.

Waiting for Tsipras

However, the starring unit successful this abstraction is present the undecided: 1 successful 4 centrists and 1 successful 5 center-left voters autumn into the “gray zone,” indicating deadlock and possibly waiting for Tsipras’ moves. His valuation connected the sidelines of TIF scored 30.5% affirmative among the center-left, 33% among the left, but lone 21.2% successful the center.

Interestingly, Alexis Tsipras divides SYRIZA: 45.1% of its voters saw his beingness successful Thessaloniki positively, but 24.7% expressed a antagonistic view, portion 30.3% refused to comment—showing the unease prevailing successful that space.

It’s worthy noting that Tsipras’ beingness was positively rated by 34.5% of 17–30-year-olds. At the aforesaid time, 34.2% of the aforesaid property radical viewed Mitsotakis’ quality positively, portion 56.6% considered the zero-tax argumentation for those nether 25 arsenic precise oregon reasonably significant.

SYRIZA’s fragmentation has brought PASOK to archetypal spot among center-left voters with 24.4%, portion SYRIZA itself is reduced to a meager 7.1%, lone marginally supra ND’s penetration into that space, present astatine 6.9%.

By contrast, ND maintains hegemonic presumption connected the close with 54.4% and successful the center-right with 59.6%.

Second successful some groups is Kyriakos Velopoulos’ Hellenic Solution, with 10.5% and 7.7%, portion undecideds relationship for conscionable 3% of right-wingers and 7% of center-right voters—objectively limiting the chances of a caller enactment emerging nether Antonis Samaras.

Mitsotakis without rival

Mr. Mitsotakis gained 1 constituent successful suitability for Prime Minister aft his TIF appearance, reaching 30.7%, adjacent to ND’s percentage, portion absorption person Nikos Androulakis continues astatine debased levels, ranking fourth, down Zoe Konstantopoulou and Kyriakos Velopoulos. In fact, each 3 mislaid points aft Mitsotakis’ beingness astatine TIF.

The Prime Minister’s quality astatine TIF is positively rated by 36.9% of respondents, with 36.2% of centrists and 18.3% of center-left voters expressing approval. Strikingly, implicit 1 successful 5 PASOK voters rated the Prime Minister’s show arsenic bully oregon alternatively good. Interestingly, successful governmental appraisal questions, 39.3% said Mitsotakis announced what the system tin handle—or adjacent more—while 53.7% insisted helium could person announced overmuch much without causing economical problems.

The astir fashionable measure

The simplification of taxation rates for all, and an adjacent greater simplification depending connected the fig of children successful each family, emerges arsenic the astir fashionable measurement announced astatine TIF: 61.1% of women and 57.4% of men enactment it, with affirmative effect among young radical reaching 64%, somewhat beneath those implicit 65. The measurement is approved by 78.3% of ND voters, 50.1% of PASOK voters, 45.3% of SYRIZA voters, and adjacent 43.1% of KKE voters.

 Following is the 30% simplification of VAT connected Aegean islands, which has support from 61% of women and 56.6% of men, and enactment supra 50% crossed each property categories. After ND voters—three retired of 4 of whom see it precise oregon reasonably important—come the voters of the KKE with 56.1%, SYRIZA with 51.3%, and PASOK with 47.9%. It is noteworthy that successful the Aegean islands the measure’s support reaches 88.4%, adjacent though it does not use to the full region.

The reduction and consequent elimination of ENFIA (property tax) for main residences successful villages and settlements with less than 1,500 inhabitants is recognized arsenic a affirmative measurement by 52% of women and 46.8% of men. The aged (61.6%) are particularly supportive, arsenic are young radical (52.2%). In different property groups, however, the bulk considers the measurement of small oregon nary importance, arsenic bash voters of parties different than ND.

The most emblematic measurement of TIF, the elimination of taxation for young radical up to 25 years aged and its important simplification up to the property of 30, is supported by a bulk lone among those straight concerned—that is, young radical nether 30—as good arsenic those implicit 65. By contrast, Center-Left and Left voters mostly cull the measure.

The survey was conducted by MARC S.A.
– ESR Registry Number: 1 (ENA).
– Client: Proto Thema.
– Survey population: Men and women eligible to vote.
– Sample size: 2,401 individuals (1st wave: 1,193 – 2nd wave: 1,208).
– Period: August 27 to September 2 & September 8 to 11, 2025.
– Area: Nationwide coverage.
– Sampling method: Multistage random sampling with quotas based connected gender, age, and geographic distribution.
– Data postulation method: Telephone interviews utilizing physics questionnaires (CATI) and self-completed online questionnaires (CAWI).
– Staff: 16 researchers & 2 supervisors.
– Special bundle used: Wombat & Queuemetrics for distant researcher and supervisor work, with unrecorded real-time monitoring of fieldwork.
– Maximum statistical error: ±2.8% (per wave).
– Weighting: Based connected gender, property & the results of the June 2023 parliamentary elections.
– Quality controls: Logical consistency checks and 100% completeness verification; 20.2% of interviews double-checked by unrecorded listening.
– MARC S.A. is simply a subordinate of SEDEA & ESOMAR and complies with the PESSS regularisation and planetary codes of behaviour for conducting and publishing sentiment polls.